VICE FUND: MARCH 2023 – COMMENTARY LETTER -

USA MUTUALS ADVISORS, INC.

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USA Mutuals / Commentary & Insight  / VICE FUND: MARCH 2023 – COMMENTARY LETTER

VICE FUND: MARCH 2023 – COMMENTARY LETTER

The Vice Fund ended the month of March with a return of +2.26%.

Market Review

The Federal Reserve started hiking rates 13 months ago. In March, the stress of these hikes began to reveal cracks in the banking system. Three regional banks closed, and Credit Suisse had a forced takeover. By the end of March, government deposit backstops and a special lending facility for banks renewed confidence in the banking system, at least in the short term.

Equity market volatility, separate from the highly volatile banking sector, was relatively muted compared to volatility in the interest rates complex. For example, the CBOE VIX Index only briefly jumped above its three-month highs. Government backstops may have temporarily quashed contagion fears. However, the MOVE Index, a measure of Treasury rate volatility through options pricing, hit its highest level since the 2008 Financial Crisis.

Stresses in the banking system have created a challenge for a hawkish Federal Reserve. We believe there is a narrow path for the Federal Reserve to balance financial stability and price stability. Further, the uncertainty around the Federal Reserve hikes going forward may lead to another round of equity market volatility.

The fund has a bias to dividend-paying value stocks which lagged most growth-centric equity indices in March. We believe the outperformance of value stocks since the end of 2021 was due for a pullback based on short-term market technicals instead of fundamental reasons. The main laggard in the portfolio has been military defense stocks while casinos have provided a boost.

Sincerely yours,

Paul Strehle

Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses carefully before investing. For a prospectus or summary prospectus with this and other information about the Fund, please call 1-800-MUTUALS or visit our website at www.USAMutuals.com. Read the prospectus or summary prospectus carefully before investing.

Standardized performance as of (3/31/2023) Fund Inception (02/01/2002)

1 Year 5 Year 10 Year Since Inception
VICEX 9.05% 0.74% 5.94% 8.06%
MSCI World Index -6.96% 7.46% 8.62% 8.51%

 

Investor Class performance data quoted represents past performance; past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance of the fund may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. Performance data current to the most recent month end may be obtained by calling 1-866-264-8783. Returns over one year are annualized. The Gross and Net expense 1.64% and 1.49%. Contractual fee waivers through 07/31/2023.

DEFINITIONS:

The MSCI All Country World Index Total Return (“MSCI ACWI TR”) captures large and mid-cap representation across 23 Developed Markets (DM) and 26 Emerging Markets (EM) countries.

VIX: VIX is the ticker symbol and the popular name for the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s CBOE Volatility Index, a popular measure of the stock market’s expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options.

CBOE SKEW Index: A measure of the perceived tail risk of the distribution of S&P 500 investment returns over a 30-day horizon.

MOVE Index: A measure of Treasury rate volatility through options pricing.

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SYMBOL: VICEX

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